Showing posts with label John Edwards. Show all posts
Showing posts with label John Edwards. Show all posts
Friday, January 25, 2008
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
According to the Media, John Edwards doesn't exist.
What? Don't believe me? Go ask Greg Sargent at Talking Points Memo, he's got the data!
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Edwards continues to move closer in Nevada
Leslie Byrd forwarded this article to me about Edwards' poll numbers surging in Nevada, and asked me to note the following:
Three instructive notes about these numbers:
1. This poll was taken after New Hampshire and yet John gained nearly 15 points, demonstrating he has the momentum going into the caucus.
2. This poll was taken after the Culinary Workers Union endorsement. So any bump Obama got from that endorsement should be reflected here.
3. There is still 9% undecided. Moreover, given the unique nature of the caucus, Gravel and Kucinich will likely not be viable and there 1% will most likely go to Edwards on second choice votes. Thus, in practical terms (or caucus terms) the numbers are actually more like O-32% H-30% E-29% --- with a 4.5% margin of error.
The message in all this:
THE PEOPLE NOT THE PUNDITS WILL PICK THE NOMINEE!
Three instructive notes about these numbers:
1. This poll was taken after New Hampshire and yet John gained nearly 15 points, demonstrating he has the momentum going into the caucus.
2. This poll was taken after the Culinary Workers Union endorsement. So any bump Obama got from that endorsement should be reflected here.
3. There is still 9% undecided. Moreover, given the unique nature of the caucus, Gravel and Kucinich will likely not be viable and there 1% will most likely go to Edwards on second choice votes. Thus, in practical terms (or caucus terms) the numbers are actually more like O-32% H-30% E-29% --- with a 4.5% margin of error.
The message in all this:
THE PEOPLE NOT THE PUNDITS WILL PICK THE NOMINEE!
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