While Bob over at 55-40 is convinced that the Mayor will NOT seek an unprecedented fifth term, I look at the field and wonder why, as only an indictment could beat him if the field is this split.
Remember 1999? John Bakke, who was polling and counseling candidate Joe Ford at the time, announced a poll prior to the beginning of the race that showed that 55% of the City of Memphis electorate wanted a new mayor.
By Heavens, he was almost dead-on; when the votes were counted, Herenton had 46%, a minority, but also a PLURALITY. There was NO single candidate that could consolidate the Anti-Herenton vote, and he was back.
Damn, it hurts to be right sometimes...
Remember 1999? John Bakke, who was polling and counseling candidate Joe Ford at the time, announced a poll prior to the beginning of the race that showed that 55% of the City of Memphis electorate wanted a new mayor.
By Heavens, he was almost dead-on; when the votes were counted, Herenton had 46%, a minority, but also a PLURALITY. There was NO single candidate that could consolidate the Anti-Herenton vote, and he was back.
Damn, it hurts to be right sometimes...
5 comments:
I'm really sorry for what happened down in Memphis. But now that both of our Mayor's races are over, we need to be looking ahead to the Governor's race in 2010. Specifically, we need to make sure that this does NOT end up being a Harold Ford-Lincoln Davis primary. Davis is a Republican and I don't think anyone has the stomach for another Ford campaign. What do you think?
Amen to that, we need to stop BOTH of them; Lincoln Davis needs to stay right where he is, and Ford needs to move to NYC where he is loved.
PURCELL 2010!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Guys and gals do you think Steve Cohen will run in '10? He's never struck me as the kind of person who would stay in Congress for a long time. He didnt do all that well back in '94 but being in Congress should enable him to get access to more funds this time around. Also LWC keep an eye on Congressman Roger Wicker in the coming weeks....I heard an interesting rumor over the weekend concerning his future.
I personally think he's happy where he is, but we don't know the lay of the landscape going into that election right now.
Let's see how Mike McWherter does against LAMAR! in 2008 before we suggest anything for Cohen.
How 'bout Steffens and Miller for a tag-team ticket in 2010? With Jon as campaign manager and Gatlin as legal counsel? You'd probably have a large turnout from the usually non-voting CK's crowd...ah, the thoughts of blissful days in Tennessee politics.
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