Wednesday, April 29, 2009
Expounding on the poll
This, I believe, is a combination of things. First, people of all colors, races, religions, etc. are HAPPY with Steve Cohen representing the 9th District in Washington. Memphians are notorious for keeping legislators in legislative positions and not letting them move into executive positions, and vice versa.
As hard as Cohen has worked in and for the African-American community, it is not surprising that they have responded so favorably.
As for the Mayor, well, that's another story. 16 years in office, especially as high-profile as the Mayor has been, can wear down any group of constituents. As Steve Ross notes in this comment, Herenton only got 42% of the vote last year. Had Morris dropped out, Carol Chumney would have won.
This, of course, is even before you get into the ongoing investigation of the Mayor. My own belief on this is, if you have something, it had better be strong and not just grasping for straws. Unless you have videotape AND a smoking gun, leave it alone, the city can't handle that much stress right now.
In any event, the Mayor is weakened right now, and while I don't doubt his base areas would support him against the Congressman, this race seems ill-advised. However, it should teach the Congressman NOT to take anything for granted, and ALWAYS keep fundraising!